Is this possible?

[darrenmon]

Hi Guys,

I am new here, and (ashamedly) I don't know anything about coding or the stock market! But, before you click the back button in disgust, please hear me out ..

I understand that news headlines play a huge role in public confidence, and therefore stock movement. I am currently researching how the 'typical market expectations' effect this movement. For example, if the expectation is for a stock to rise by 20%, and a merger is announced which reports a rise of 15%, the stock price may fall instead of rise. This simplified model explains some of the irregularity in the market.

You all know this I know, I am a complete novice .. BUT, I have a lot of common sense and business sense. I have several successful businesses and I learn super fast.

I have some questions that you will find dum, but please answer them;

1. Is the search for a coded 'system' to predict share prices a reality or 'pie in the sky'? Has anyone ever come close or is it a new field of research?

2. Despite the fact I don't code, I do specialise in problem solving. Is there any way I can help this community in finding a solution to the problem?

Thank you,
Darren

[NinjaTrader_Brett]

Hello,

Thanks for the forum post.

Welcome to the NinjaTrader support forum.

This forum is mostly used for technical support and NinjaScript programming support. However I will leave this tread open to see if anyone else has any further comments on the matter.

Let me know if I can be of further assistance.

[koganam]

...
1. Is the search for a coded 'system' to predict share prices a reality or 'pie in the sky'? Has anyone ever come close or is it a new field of research?

There is no system yet that can perfectly predict the future, no matter what the gurus say. There are many systems that claim to use various AI techniques to determine future prices. As to their reliability, it is POSSIBLE that they may be able to have a success rate of slightly better than 50%, but I would doubt if it is much higher than that.

[sledge]

TDA's think or swim app has a predictor on major indexes.

It'll draw a line in the future, I don't know the details behind how it does it, so I don't know its limitation , and I was not impressed with what I saw.

There is encog for ninjstrader which u might be interested in.

I'd love to learn more AI type stuff.